TED
TED

April 7, 2026 · 4 min read

Is Luck Random — or Can You Cultivate It? | Christian Busch | TED

Is Luck Random — or Can You Cultivate It? | Christian Busch | TED
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Key Takeaways

  • 1On January 7, 2025, our house, my wife's parents' house and most of our neighborhood burned down to the ground.
  • 2This experience introduced me to something beyond bad luck: zemblanity.
  • 3Zemblanity isn't just in big systems like wildfire management.
  • 4This brings us to the Luck Matrix, which shows four types of luck.
  • 5Serendipity depends on how we engage with the unexpected.

Overview

On January 7, 2025, our house, my wife's parents' house and most of our neighborhood burned down to the ground. I found myself outside hosing down the house with one hand and holding a laptop with the other, desperately trying to upload a paper to a management conference. The document uploaded, but the hosing didn't work, and 24 hours later, our house was gone.

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